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How Are Odds Calculated

On Maiga Markets, the odds you see are Maiga’s live quote for each side (YES/NO or Higher/Lower). Because Maiga is the prediction market platform using CPMM, odds are not set by a peer-to-peer orderbook midpoint (that’s a P2P concept).

Maiga updates odds in real time based on:

  • the underlying market movement (e.g., BTC price and volatility)

  • time remaining until expiry

  • risk limits and exposure balancing (to keep markets stable and sustainable)

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Higher odds usually means higher potential payout, but also implies the outcome is considered less likely at that moment.

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What “odds” mean on Maiga

Think of odds as: “If I stake X, how much do I receive if I’m right?”

You always see:

  • your stake

  • your selected side

  • your estimated payout if you win (before you confirm)

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Example: Alice trades BTC 15-min close

Market: “BTC 15-min close: Higher or Lower?”

  • Alice picks Higher

  • Stakes 20 USDT

  • Maiga shows a payout preview (example): “Win payout: 36 USDT”

  • Alice confirm

If BTC closes Higher at expiry → she wins and is credited.

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